ALPHA

With the rebirth of CIELO RATINGS, 3.0.0 is the alpha revision of the ratings. This version uses k=12 arbitrarily to mirror the work previously done by others to use an ELO methodology for Formula 1 racing. The sample of races for the alpha is restricted to NASCAR races contested in the calendar year of 2023 only.

The table below lists the corresponding CIELO (3.0.0) rating for the 57 NASCAR drivers that have competed in the first sixteen races of the 2023 season ending with the 2023 TOYOTA / SAVE MART 350 race on June 11th.

  Kyle Busch 
          1868.071 
  Martin Truex Jr 
          1842.163 
  William Byron 
          1827.596 
  Chris Buescher 
          1802.597 
   Joey Logano 
          1784.460 
   Kevin Harvick 
          1752.168 
 A.J. Allmendinger 
          1703.032 
  Kyle Larson 
          1697.579 
     Chase Elliott 
          1680.997 
  Christopher Bell 
          1675.989 
  Michael McDowell 
          1640.257 
       Ryan Preece 
          1627.105 
       Ryan Blaney 
          1624.696 
     Ross Chastain 
          1609.985 
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 
          1602.496 
     Bubba Wallace 
          1600.947 
       Alex Bowman 
          1589.668 
   Travis Pastrana 
          1587.329 
      Riley Herbst 
          1574.235 
      Justin Haley 
          1573.333 
   Brad Keselowski 
          1563.488 
     Daniel Suarez 
          1537.372 
    Chandler Smith 
          1531.636 
     Jenson Button 
          1529.822 
      Corey LaJoie 
          1518.782 
          Ty Gibbs 
          1518.523 
    Todd Gilliland 
          1481.422 
     Austin Dillon 
          1475.958 
       Austin Hill 
          1469.633 
     Jordan Taylor 
          1468.557 
        J.J. Yeley 
          1463.953 
    Grant Enfinger 
          1455.689 
    Austin Cindric 
          1452.592 
      Denny Hamlin 
          1451.671 
   Harrison Burton 
          1449.065 
       Ryan Newman 
          1423.814 
    Kimi Raikkonen 
          1420.418 
     Aric Almirola 
          1420.199 
        Josh Berry 
          1418.168 
     Gray Gaulding 
          1417.399 
         Ty Dillon 
          1402.615 
     Tyler Reddick 
          1376.005 
        Erik Jones 
          1374.658 
      Matt Crafton 
          1364.067 
        Andy Lally 
          1357.618 
    Carson Hocevar 
          1349.209 
      Josh Bilicki 
          1348.227 
Jonathan Davenport 
          1344.937 
        Zane Smith 
          1337.956 
     Chase Briscoe 
          1329.641 
        Conor Daly 
          1310.129 
       B.J. McLeod 
          1293.125 
   Anthony Alfredo 
          1277.472 
         Cody Ware 
          1261.042 
     Brennan Poole 
          1259.552 
    Jimmie Johnson 
          1198.983 
      Noah Gragson 
          1175.896 

The model has not been backtested and represents a limited data set.

There is no reasonable interpretation of this version of the CIELO RATINGS at this time.