With the addition of the results of the 2023 QUAKER STATE 400 AVAILABLE AT WALMART race with the other NASCAR Cup races from the 2022 and 2023 seasons, the CIELO Ratings for NASCAR Cup Series drivers moves to the beta version. The population of rated races now totals fifty-five events.
With the alpha-to-beta switch from revision 3.0.0 to 3.0.1, Kyle Busch (1953) remains the top CIELO-rated NASCAR driver. Arguably, the ratings are more reliable and by extension more predictive now that the population of races has expanded from 18 to 55. The ‘beta version’ of CIELO ratings are revisions 3.0.x. The x will be incremented with each year added to the population.
Future revisions 3.1.x will mark the end of the beta phase of the CIELO ratings. To exit beta, the race population will include every contest from June 19, 1949, to the present. Another requirement to leave beta is establishing a k-factor justified by backtesting.
As the rebirth of the CIELO rating system progresses, I anticipate more readers will want more ratings and less process. With that in mind, the following is the list of all drivers in order of their current rating that raced at least once in 2022-3.
Kyle Busch
1953.791
William Byron
1937.234
Chase Elliott
1847.076
A.J. Allmendinger
1838.689
Michael McDowell
1807.648
Justin Haley
1802.111
Chris Buescher
1759.713
Joey Logano
1743.707
Daniel Suarez
1742.109
Denny Hamlin
1734.901
Brad Keselowski
1734.739
Shane Van Gisbergen
1713.838
Erik Jones
1701.714
Austin Cindric
1700.210
Kurt Busch
1643.821
Christopher Bell
1642.283
David Ragan
1636.493
J.J. Yeley
1633.599
Aric Almirola
1615.070
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
1609.361
Ryan Preece
1609.177
Kyle Larson
1602.815
Ryan Blaney
1578.608
Todd Gilliland
1570.971
Jenson Button
1562.286
Chandler Smith
1557.822
Martin Truex Jr
1555.513
Riley Herbst
1528.643
Ty Gibbs
1523.942
Corey LaJoie
1510.427
Bubba Wallace
1506.035
Ross Chastain
1503.304
Austin Dillon
1496.260
Jordan Taylor
1495.103
Jacques Villeneuve
1488.732
Chase Briscoe
1483.619
Josh Berry
1476.811
Cole Custer
1476.446
Grant Enfinger
1474.913
Kevin Harvick
1468.471
Boris Said
1453.093
Alex Bowman
1451.833
John H. Nemechek
1450.848
Ryan Newman
1447.072
Kaz Grala
1446.458
B.J. McLeod
1441.091
Gray Gaulding
1439.948
Ty Dillon
1433.247
Harrison Burton
1429.525
Daniel Hemric
1426.766
Mike Rockenfeller
1400.903
Tyler Reddick
1399.459
Parker Kligerman
1399.446
Josh Williams
1391.090
Matt Crafton
1389.065
Scott Heckert
1385.139
Zane Smith
1382.473
Austin Hill
1376.690
Josh Bilicki
1374.416
Carson Hocevar
1371.080
Jonathan Davenport
1369.532
Kimi Raikkonen
1355.811
Andy Lally
1326.569
Justin Allgaier
1323.489
Noah Gragson
1315.917
Anthony Alfredo
1315.523
Kyle Tilley
1315.218
Conor Daly
1309.344
Garrett Smithley
1301.756
Cody Ware
1291.052
Jimmie Johnson
1280.577
Joey Hand
1276.726
Brennan Poole
1267.796
Landon Cassill
1251.661
Greg Biffle
1218.485
Daniil Kvyat
1211.144
Loris Hezemans
1205.752